BPBetter Projections
Rankings

HOU - QB

Davis Mills

#45 QBTier 8PPR 20.66.9 PPG
PPR Expected20.66.9 PPG
Scoring

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Davis Mills projects for a limited 2026 fantasy role with HOU at 20.6 PPR fantasy points, or 6.9 points per game, ranking QB45 in the Better Projections model.

His expected outcome sits between a 3.2-point floor and a 36.4-point ceiling over 3.0 projected games.

The projection is built around 1,935 passing yards and 5.8 passing touchdowns.

That profile places him in Tier 8 among quarterbacks.

View 2026 QB rankings
PPR fantasy points20.6
Floor 3.2Expected 20.6Ceiling 36.4

Scoring Formats

Standard20.6
Half-PPR20.6
PPR20.6
Standard PPG6.9
Half-PPR PPG6.9
PPR PPG6.9

Personalized Value

12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#45 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Davis Mills · QB12 · 20.6 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points20.6
Replacement20.6
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1

Projected Stats

Games3.03.03.0
Pass Attempts50327579
Completions29188334
Passing Yards2971,9353,429
Passing TD0.95.810.3
INT1.11.11.1
Rushing Yards17111196
Rushing TD0.21.22.1
FloorExpectedCeiling

Model Signals

Career trajectoryNeutral
QB environmentNeutral
Team volumeNeutral
Teammate competitionNeutral
Vacated opportunityNeutral
AvailabilitySeparate From Starting Role
Team changeSame Or Unknown

Actual Results

Fantasy History

SeasonTeamGamesFantasy PointsPPGFinishPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TD
2025HOU666.611.1QB4191551601
2024HOU49.62.4QB6121200110
2023HOU515.83.2QB591732090
2022HOU15185.512.4QB213,11817151082
2021HOU13155.011.9QB292,6641610440