BPBetter Projections
Rankings

KC - QB

Patrick Mahomes

#4 QBTier 1PPR 334.119.7 PPG
PPR Expected334.119.7 PPG
Scoring

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Patrick Mahomes projects for a 2026 fantasy role with KC at 334.1 PPR fantasy points, or 19.7 points per game, ranking QB4 in the Better Projections model.

His expected outcome sits between a 291.8-point floor and a 374.0-point ceiling over 17.0 projected games.

The projection is built around 4,504 passing yards, 29.3 passing touchdowns, and 361 rushing yards.

His projected positional value lands at Tier 1 among quarterbacks, 53.9 PPR VBD, and overall VBD rank 35.

View 2026 QB rankings
PPR fantasy points334.1
Floor 291.8Expected 334.1Ceiling 374.0

Scoring Formats

Standard334.1
Half-PPR334.1
PPR334.1
Standard PPG19.7
Half-PPR PPG19.7
PPR PPG19.7

Personalized Value

12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#4 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Patrick Mahomes · QB12 · 334.1 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points334.1
Replacement334.1
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1

Projected Stats

Games17.017.017.0
Pass Attempts528605677
Completions347398445
Passing Yards3,9344,5045,041
Passing TD25.629.332.8
INT11.511.511.5
Rushing Yards316361405
Rushing TD3.43.94.4
FloorExpectedCeiling

Model Signals

Career trajectoryNeutral
QB environmentNeutral
Team volumeNeutral
Teammate competitionNeutral
Vacated opportunityNeutral
AvailabilitySeparate From Starting Role
Team changeSame Or Unknown

Actual Results

Fantasy History

SeasonTeamGamesFantasy PointsPPGFinishPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TD
2025KC14281.720.1QB113,58722114225
2024KC16283.017.7QB123,92826113072
2023KC16286.217.9QB84,18327143890
2022KC17411.424.2QB15,25041123584
2021KC17365.721.5QB44,83937133812
2020KC15372.424.8QB54,7403863082
2019KC14289.020.6QB74,0312652182
2018KC16419.126.2QB15,09750122722
2017KC110.410.4QB5328401100