BPBetter Projections
Rankings

SEA - QB

Sam Darnold

#20 QBTier 4PPR 231.213.6 PPG
PPR Expected231.213.6 PPG
Scoring

2026 Fantasy Outlook

Sam Darnold projects for a 2026 fantasy role with SEA at 231.2 PPR fantasy points, or 13.6 points per game, ranking QB20 in the Better Projections model.

His expected outcome sits between a 175.2-point floor and a 309.8-point ceiling over 17.0 projected games.

The projection is built around 3,371 passing yards, 25.5 passing touchdowns, and 150 rushing yards.

His projected positional value lands at Tier 4 among quarterbacks and overall VBD rank 132.

View 2026 QB rankings
PPR fantasy points231.2
Floor 175.2Expected 231.2Ceiling 309.8

Scoring Formats

Standard231.2
Half-PPR231.2
PPR231.2
Standard PPG13.6
Half-PPR PPG13.6
PPR PPG13.6

Personalized Value

12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEX
Overall Rank#1
Position Rank#20 QB
Dynamic VBD0.0
Auction Value$2400
PPR · 12 Team - PPR - 1QB - 2RB - 2WR - 1TE - 1FLEXReplacement QB: Sam Darnold · QB12 · 231.2 ptsAuction values reserve minimum bids, then allocate remaining dollars by positive dynamic VBD. Projection stats remain unchanged.
Expected Points231.2
Replacement231.2
Bench in VBDNo
Auction Rank#1

Projected Stats

Games17.017.017.0
Pass Attempts344454608
Completions231305408
Passing Yards2,5543,3714,517
Passing TD19.325.534.1
INT11.511.511.5
Rushing Yards114150201
Rushing TD0.30.40.5
FloorExpectedCeiling

Model Signals

Career trajectoryNeutral
QB environmentNeutral
Team volumeNeutral
Teammate competitionNeutral
Vacated opportunityNeutral
AvailabilitySeparate From Starting Role
Team changeChanged Team

Actual Results

Fantasy History

SeasonTeamGamesFantasy PointsPPGFinishPass YdsPass TDINTRush YdsRush TD
2025SEA17243.414.3QB144,0482514950
2024MIN17316.018.6QB94,31935122121
2023SF1025.42.5QB5229721151
2022CAR690.315.0QB351,143731062
2021CAR12163.313.6QB282,5279132225
2020NYJ12136.011.3QB312,2089112172
2019NYJ13189.214.6QB283,0241913622
2018NYJ13172.113.2QB272,86517151351